Joe Biden’s Perfect Storm

A storm of woes haunts the Biden presidency

*COVID-19 Original
*COVID-19 Delta
*Fox News
*Divisive social media
*Donald Trump
*Russia
*Countless claims that Biden lost the 2020 election, believed by 78%
of Republicans
*Trump toadies Kevin McCarthy, Elise Stefanik, et al
*Trump thugs Marjorie Taylor Green, Paul Gosar, Matt Gaetz, et al
*Senate obstructionist Republican team, head thug Mitch McConnell
*Senate obstructionist pseudo-Democratic tag team Manchin-Sinema
*Militant House progressives
*Pigheaded House moderates
*Anti-Mask rebellions
*Anti-Vaccine rebellions
*Republican governors taking every opportunity to undermine his authority
*Anti-democratic Republican state legislatures
*Sinister conspiracy theories
*Bloodthirsty crazed dupes of conspiracy theories
*Threats against his life rising along with deadly threats against all office-holding Democrats (and some non-Democrats who refuse to be intimidated by the thugs)
*Emboldened white supremacists
*Irresolute Attorney General
*Bungled Afghanistan pullout
*Chinese saber-rattling
*A tsunami of pandemic-rebound shopping
*Oil price shocks
*Clogged supply chains

and now . . . 

The headline in the November 10, 6:24 pm story in The Hill was: “Biden Gets Inflation Gut Punch.”  Sure enough, just when it looked like a coalition of moderates and progressive Democrats was going to stitch together enough of the remains of Biden’s Build Back Better legislation to have all House Democrats call it a win, along comes inflation to poison the deal.

The result of too many dollars chasing too little capacity as the economy ramps up boosts inflation, and makes big government spending—of the magnitude that would benefit Americans up and down the economic ladder—enough of an inflation risk to stall or starve Biden’s Build Back Better legislative agenda.

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Budget Policy, Taxation, and Gratuitous Suffering

[Preamble: Along with the prospect of a massive national infrastructure program has come talk of the necessity of raising taxes in order to pay for it—from Democrats as well as Republicans. That talk is a mistake. My apologies for writing the third post on this subject in the last month, but I realize I have failed to convey the importance of it. Perhaps it’s better to frame it in the negative: how balancing the budget produces not just suffering, but gratuitous suffering. ]  

The tax and budget debate and gratuitous suffering

Continuing to talk about federal deficits and taxation is  dull, particularly when politicians from Bernie Sanders to Paul Ryan trot out the same tired commonplaces about taxing the rich (Sanders) and saddling future generations with crushing debt (Ryan & his successors).  Arguments from Left and Right are both couched in the paradigm of either balancing the federal budget or courting future disaster. Stuff we’ve heard countless times before, and just as irrelevant now as in the past.

Cloaked by the dullness is the true human cost of decision-makers getting bogged down in  meaningless arguments about budget deficits and taxes, while those who bear the greatest costs of the decisions have little voice.

The bogging-down leads to what Modern Monetary Theory champion Stephanie Kelton terms “gratuitous suffering.” Kelton:

It is just about the worst kind of suffering, because we have the capacity to do better, and to do better for our fellow Americans. To do better by others.  And if we can improve economic life for millions of people without creating harm, why wouldn’t we do that? 

Gratuitous, because there is a way out, but getting out requires something that almost no one on the public stage is talking about: to shed the mindset of having either to balance federal spending with taxes, or having to rectify crushing debt somewhere down the road with even greater taxes.

If you—despite your generous impulse to provide tens of millions of people with economic relief through government spending—still worry yourself about terrible future costs incurred by relief given in the present, then just stop worrying. Worrying about balancing the budget keeps getting  in the way of real economic progress.

For a 5-minute primer on Modern Monetary Theory and how it does away with concerns over budget deficits, watch Stephanie Kelton below:

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Stop Asking That Question!

COVID-19 Relief Bill draws another round
of pointless reiterations of
“how-are-you-going-to-pay-for-it?”

Those who had the patience and tolerance to wade through my earlier post on Modern Monetary Theory (find here) might not need to read the rest of this one. This one is something of a rehash of the reasons not to pay attention to the tired refrain, in respect to a government spending program, “how are you going to pay for it?”

Specifically, how are you (that is, we the taxpayers as distinct from zillionaires whose tax bills are barely a blip on their balance sheets) going to pay for the $1.9 trillion COVID Relief Bill, without bankrupting future generations?

It seems, from most of what I’ve been seeing and hearing, just about everyone on the political Left and Right is still buying  into “The Deficit Myth”—the fertile soil from which the how-are-you-going-to-pay-for-it commonplace sprouts. In the view of both sides, the National Debt looms as colossally menacing to American financial welfare as was Sauron’s redoubt Barad-Dur  to the welfare of the peoples of Middle Earth.

Interestingly, neither current Federal Reserve chairperson Jerome Powell nor past Fed chairperson and now Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen are sounding alarms about national debt risk caused by a $1.9 trillion economic stimulus.  Powell, to the contrary (and to the discomfort of fiscal conservatives dismayed to find out that Powell is not exactly Their Guy), has been advocating a big stimulus bill for months in order to head off another deep recession.

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Democracy’s Deathbed: the U.S. Senate

[Most of the content below is probably familiar to you, but I wanted to put it all together in one place to get a sense of how much of an impediment to democracy and human progress the United States Senate is—at least as it presently operates.  Conceivably it could be reformed to conduce to the betterment of the American people, but the current rules exacerbate the harm from an already non-democratic structure dictated by the Constitution.]

Grave arithmetic: if you think the Electoral College is bad, just consider the Senate

At times, it looks as if a coalition of white supremacists and QAnon cult members, together with right-wing government-hating, racist and xenophobic gun nuts,  whipped into a fact-free frenzy by Donald Trump, is what we most have to worry about in preserving our democracy.

If only.  The Capitol riot was a symptom of a societal breakdown a long time in the making. What we’re looking at now is a tipping point, a massive destabilization of the American public and the institutions on which it relies (with little thanks from a clueless majority of voters). It’s come to the point where such observers as MSNBC’s Mehdi Hasan only half-jokingly wonder if the U.S. is becoming a “failed state.” (URL to YouTube is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4mzFqKZe60o

There are plenty of villains to blame for this scary predicament—my favorite being social media—but one key contributor is the workings of the U.S Senate.  If we need big change quickly enough to stave off shocks to the system of which the January 6 riot at the Capitol is a brief forewarning, then something drastic has to be done  with the Senate.

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The Fix for the Economy You Never Hear About: Slaying the Budget Deficit Myth

Forget the mantra, “how are you going to pay for it?”

On page 182 of  The Deficit Myth,  author Stephanie Kelton quotes Alan Greenspan expressing the key idea that underpins Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)—that’s the theory that shows we can dispense with pointless agonizing over federal budget deficits. Deficit spending is the bugaboo that looms menacingly over every proposal to spend big on some government program—the bugaboo that elicits the refrain, “How are you going to pay for it?”

The bugaboo can be easily slain, and  conservative Alan Greenspan was just the man for the job.

The Greenspan quote at the end of this paragraph is an answer he gave to famous deficit hawk Congressman Paul Ryan in a hearing about entitlement reform.  Ryan was hoping to elicit Greenspan’s endorsement of privatizing social security—Ryan’s premise being that government-supported Social Security was insecure due to  impending deficits, and that “personal retirement accounts” were the remedy.  Greenspan, however, disappointed him. His answer was, “I wouldn’t say pay-as-you-go benefits are insecure. There’s nothing to prevent the federal government from creating as much money as it wants and paying it to somebody.”

Whoa! Was Greenspan—chairman of the Federal Reserve at the time, and self-described “lifelong libertarian Republican”—really pulling the rug from under Paul Ryan’s cherished agenda to wrest safety-net programs away from the federal government and hand them over to his big-money donors? Was he really saying that the federal government could pluck money out of thin air to fund an entitlement?

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Biden’s Challenge: to Unbreak America

Taming a raging fire

If someone tallied the number of times Joe Biden used the words “unity” and “together” in his inaugural address, it would have run over a dozen, but whatever the score was, it’s a measure of the dominant theme of Joe Biden’s inaugural address: in unity is strength, and unity is achievable.

And yet, when Biden spoke to the reality of political conflict at this time, his words were those of hope, but his tone was plaintive. “Politics doesn’t have to be a raging fire,” and “we must end this uncivil war.” These phrases hang in the air like pleas for reconciliation.  But who will answer them?

Of the host of challenges facing Joe Biden, from a pandemic out of control to the plundering of the planet, the “raging fire” of politics and the fuel that feeds it are the most fundamental. We will get past the most toxic phase of Covid-19 in a matter of time. But most of the other problems—economic inequality, racial injustice, an inequitable health care system, environmental breakdown, our allies’ mistrust—will remain intractable without an end to the uncivil war.

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“Digital Oligarchy” – Europeans Say No to Social Media Trump Ban

European leaders have a point—up to a point

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire condemned decisions by Twitter, Facebook, Apple, et al to shut down Donald Trump’s social media accounts.  Le Maire accused Big Tech of forming a “digital oligarchy,” and called for public regulation of big online platforms.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel criticized a “breach” of the “fundamental right to free speech” as “problematic.”

I get it. “Digital oligarchy” is apt.  I applaud the efforts of Europeans to hobble Big Tech as they have been doing and will continue to do; we should have been doing a lot more of it on our side of the Atlantic. If it weren’t for the unshackled free market ideology dominating American politics for the last 40 years, we might have been doing it.

Nevertheless, maybe they should butt out of the Trump social media lockdown controversy for the time being . . . at least until the dust settles around the transition to the Joe Biden administration.

The old analogy of “freedom of speech doesn’t give you the right to yell ‘fire’ in a crowded theater” applies in this situation.*  If Angela Merkel had had to live in a country with its leader shouting ‘fire!’ every day for four years straight, ultimately leading to an attack on the nation’s Capitol building by a lawless, violent, gun-toting mob bent on overthrowing the government, she might be willing to bend a little to the practicality of muting that voice as soon as possible, whether by Jack Dorsey, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Jeff Bezos, or my local mail carrier (I’d rather entrust the power to her than to the aforementioned, but that’s going to have to wait for The Revolution).

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Watch Out! Article V Constitutional Convention Nears Reality

Overhaul of the Constitution sounds tempting: don’t bite

There are some things that liberals don’t like sitting like bedrock in the U.S. Constitution.  In particular, the Electoral College to elect the president, and the assignment of two senators to each state.  Then there’s the First and Fourteenth Amendments when extended by the Supreme Court going back to the 1880s to give the same protections to corporations as to real breathing humans.

Liberals, as well as many conservatives, also dislike the scope of powers conferred on the U.S. President that have expanded over the years. At least they dislike them when the president belongs to the opposing political party. (As a Virginian, I would like to point proudly to our Senator Tim Kaine’s principled crusade to limit the chief executive’s license to conduct wars, starting with the Obama Administration.)

How might these anti-democratic features of the Constitution be remedied? In fact, Article V of the Constitution provides for a method to completely overhaul the Constitution.

Say that again? What we customarily have in mind when we think of amending the Constitution is passing an individual amendment with two-thirds vote in both houses of Congress, then ratified by three-quarters of state legislatures.  It’s what’s been done to add all 28 amendments (28 in 229 years) to the original 10 in the Bill of Rights. That cautious procedure is in Article V, but also in Article V is something truly radical: a full-blown Constitutional Convention called for by two-thirds of the states (34 out of the current 50). The Congress would then be required to hold the convention, and a new constitution coming out of it could eventually be ratified by “the legislatures of three fourths of the several states, or by conventions in three fourths thereof”—i.e., 38 out of 50 states.

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A Dog that Doesn’t Bark: Silent Sentinels that Keep Us Safe

It’s not just health care that’s collapsing

The U.S. response to the Covid-19 pandemic shines a glaring light on the inadequacy of the U.S. health care system—so glaring that folks who have shrugged off the howls of critics for decades have been shocked to realize just how fragile it is. Bernie Sanders has been the highest-profile, most strident, and most consistent critic, but he has had a lot of company among progressives. and the pandemic is driving even some centrists into his “Medicare for All” camp.

The mounting crisis prompted David Himmelstein of the CUNY School of Public Health to observe, of a properly-run health care system’s response to a crisis, “You don’t see the results. It’s a dog that doesn’t bark.”*

What has saved the U.S. pandemic response from utter tragedy is the level of expertise and commitment among health professionals—doctors, nurses, nursing assistants, radiologists, lab technicians, and the like—highly educated and benefiting from leading edge research in medical science distributed among institutions throughout the country. Their sacrifices in battling Covid-19 have been heroic. But this cadre of health care professionals has to drag around the ball-and-chain of a system that is structured primarily not to promote health, but to make money for insurance companies who pry open every cranny in the structure to achieve private again. Many private hospitals and specialists also work hand-in-glove with insurance companies to drive up costs and fatten profits.

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Turning Points: MJ, Mitt, NASCAR. Then What?

Surprising Solidarities: Jordan, Romney, NASCAR

Michael Jordan, Mitt Romney, and NASCAR have something in common: they have all said, in their own ways, “we have had enough” in the wake of the murder of George Floyd by Minneapolis police.

I felt there was change in the air when basketball great Michael Jordan, for years publicly mute on political issues, declared “we have had enough” in the wake of George Floyd’s murder.

As recently as May 5th, Jordan defended his apolitical public persona by saying “I never thought of myself as an activist. I thought of myself as a basketball player.”

But following the murder of George Floyd on May 25th, Jordan said on May 31st: “I stand with those who are calling out the ingrained racism and violence toward people of color in our country. We have had enough.”

Those of us who have been puzzled by Jordan’s longstanding refusal to publicly address racism exclaimed, “Finally!”   . . . or words to that effect.

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